After opening at 3-1, Kyle Busch is the 3-2 favorite for NASCAR at Watkins Glen 2018, which conducts Sunday at 3 p.m. ET. It is the second road course race of the season and Denny Hamlin, listed at 10-1 NASCAR in Watkins Glen odds, won the pole on Saturday. Busch leads all active drivers with four road wins, including two at Watkins Glen, but his final win in The Glen was back in 2013. Martin Truex Jr. won GoBowling in The Glen last year and is recorded at 4-1 odds. Before you make any 2018 NASCAR in Watkins Glen picks, you want to see what SportsLine’s advanced computer version has to say.
The model, built by DFS pro Mike McClure, has an established history in a number of sports. In addition, it powers McClure’s DFS projections, that have led him to more than $1 million in career winnings.
McClure, who has a mechanical engineering degree, grew up around race tracks. Big racing events like this have been in his blood, and his version has been crushing its 2018 NASCAR picks.
The model has already made several enormous calls this season, nailing the 1-2 finish for Busch and Harvick in the O’Reilly Auto Parts 500 also as Harvick’s win in the KC Masterpiece 400. In addition, it nailed five of the top 10 in Bristol and two of the top five in Daytona, simply to name a couple. Anyone following its selections this year is way, way up.
Now that the 2018 NASCAR at Watkins Glen field is secured, SportsLine mimicked the event 10,000 times and the results were so surprising.
One sudden pick from the version for GoBowling at The Glen 2018: Chase Elliott, getting the third-best NASCAR at Watkins Glen odds to win at 6-1, does not sniff the best 10. He is a driver to prevent on Sunday despite his stellar starting place of third.
Elliott remains in search of his first career Monster Energy NASCAR Cup Series win. He has cracked the top 10 in four of his last seven starts, but was only 19th at Chicago and 34th at Daytona last month. Last year at Watkins Glen, Elliott again began near the top in fourth, but finished a disappointing 13th. He clocked the fastest rate (124.520 mph) in the last clinics for GoBowling in The Glen 2018, but the version says he is a favorite to fade.
Another shocker: Truex Jr., obtaining the second-best chances at 4-1, doesn’t even finish in the top five.
He has had plenty of success on road tracks, including winning final year. But he’s a risky pick at these chances because he’s got an average finish position of 12th at Watkins Glen in his career, and it has finished 10th or worse in three of the last six races . There are better values out there within this affluent Go Bowling in The Glen field.
Instead, the version is targeting two huge underdogs with odds longer than 30-1 that are poised to make a serious run in the checkered flag, such as a monster long haul. Anyone who bets on such underdogs could hit it wealthy.